The Senate Race In One Graphic
Nate Silver has a unique way of presenting data as well as making predictions. In the graphic above he shows how control of the Senate largely comes down to the “Maroon 6,” six states that lean Republican but are still undecided, Alaska, Louisiana, Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, and Iowa. If the GOP wins all 6, the Democrats would have to win South Dakota. If they win five, then the Republicans would need to win Kansas or Colorado. If they win 4, the Republicans would need both Kansas and Colorado. If they win 3, the Democrats keep the Senate.
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By: Stuart Shapiro
Stuart is a professor and the Director of the Public Policy
program at the Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy at Rutgers
University. He teaches economics and cost-benefit analysis and studies
regulation in the United States at both the federal and state levels.
Prior to coming to Rutgers, Stuart worked for five years at the Office
of Management and Budget in Washington under Presidents Clinton and
George W. Bush.
8 responses to The Senate Race In One Graphic
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Obewon October 9th, 2014 at 21:53
Repubs have a very weak field and an even emptier ‘vote for me’ message centered on an impossible to repeal 2010 ACA HC reform law, now insuring 27 million through HC.gov and state HC exchanges.
3 weeks to go having a 76% unlikely outcome having a 24% probability of winning the “Maroon 6,” six states that lean Republican but are still undecided, Alaska, Louisiana, Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, and Iowa.
Obewon October 9th, 2014 at 21:53
Repubs have a very weak field and an even emptier ‘vote for me’ message centered on an impossible to repeal 2010’s ACA HC reform law, now insuring 27 million through HC.gov and state HC exchanges, ‘reducing federal deficits by $1.5 T’-CBO.
3 weeks to go having a 76% unlikely outcome with a 24% probability of winning the “Maroon 6,” six states that lean Republican but are still undecided, Alaska, Louisiana, Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, and Iowa.
tiredoftea October 9th, 2014 at 22:39
Hoping against hope, it looks like the Repubs are blowing the midterms in KS., KY and AK. All states where they had the lead and the base. If they squeak by, their quest for total world domination will be set back like “Pinky and the Brain”!
Obewon October 10th, 2014 at 01:25
Breaking: Wisconsin & Texas voter ID laws blocked by SCOTUS! So there is also a chance the House may flip on increased voter turnout. http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-courts-voter-id-20141009-story.html
tiredoftea October 10th, 2014 at 12:46
Given the number of safe repub seats and the DCCC not seriously contesting them, I doubt that much optimism is warranted.
tiredoftea October 9th, 2014 at 22:39
Hoping against hope, it looks like the Repubs are blowing the midterms in KS., KY and AK. All states where they had the lead and the base. If they squeak by, their quest for total world domination will be set back like “Pinky and the Brain”!
Obewon October 10th, 2014 at 01:25
Breaking: Wisconsin & Texas voter ID laws blocked by SCOTUS! So there is also a chance the House may flip on increased voter turnout. http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-courts-voter-id-20141009-story.html
tiredoftea October 10th, 2014 at 12:46
Given the number of safe repub seats and the DCCC not seriously contesting them, I doubt that much optimism is warranted.