Trump email server’s suspicious communication with Russian bank

Posted by | November 1, 2016 06:29 | Filed under: News Behaving Badly


This is a bit more disturbing than some e-mails that weren’t marked classified when they were originally sent or read, don’tchathink?

It all started when some of the nation’s top white-hat hackers started studying patterns of cyberattacks on American political entites. Things quickly turned strange when they discovered bizarre web server lookups between a Trump organization mail server and two Russian computers.

The irregular pattern of server lookups actually resembled the pattern of human conversation—conversations that began during office hours in New York and continued during office hours in Moscow. It dawned on the researchers that this wasn’t an attack, but a sustained relationship between a server registered to the Trump Organization and two servers registered to an entity called Alfa Bank.

The researchers had initially stumbled in their diagnosis because of the odd configuration of Trump’s server.

“I’ve never seen a server set up like that,” says Christopher Davis, who runs the cybersecurity firm HYAS InfoSec Inc. and won a FBI Director Award for Excellence for his work tracking down the authors of one of the world’s nastiest botnet attacks.

“It looked weird, and it didn’t pass the sniff test.”

The server was first registered to Trump’s business in 2009 and was set up to run consumer marketing campaigns. It had a history of sending mass emails on behalf of Trump-branded properties and products. Researchers were ultimately convinced that the server indeed belonged to Trump… but now this capacious server handled a strangely small load of traffic, such a small load that it would be hard for a company to justify the expense and trouble it would take to maintain it. “I get more mail in a day than the server handled,” Davis says.

That wasn’t the only oddity.

When the researchers pinged the server, they received error messages. They concluded that the server was set to accept only incoming communication from a very small handful of IP addresses. A small portion of the logs showed communication with a server belonging to Michigan-based Spectrum Health. (The company said in a statement: “Spectrum Health does not have a relationship with Alfa Bank or any of the Trump organizations. We have concluded a rigorous investigation with both our internal IT security specialists and expert cyber security firms. Our experts have conducted a detailed analysis of the alleged internet traffic and did not find any evidence that it included any actual communications (no emails, chat, text, etc.) between Spectrum Health and Alfa Bank or any of the Trump organizations. While we did find a small number of incoming spam marketing emails, they originated from a digital marketing company, Cendyn, advertising Trump Hotels.”)

ighty-seven percent of the DNS lookups involved the two Alfa Bank servers. “It’s pretty clear that it’s not an open mail server,” Camp told me. “These organizations are communicating in a way designed to block other people out.”

Now what was that about Clinton’s e-mail? Go read the whole thing here.

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Copyright 2016 Liberaland
By: dave-dr-gonzo

David Hirsch, a.k.a. Dave "Doctor" Gonzo*, is a renegade record producer, video producer, writer, reformed corporate shill, and still-registered lobbyist for non-one-percenter performing artists and musicians. He lives in a heavily fortified compound in one of Manhattan's less trendy neighborhoods.

* Hirsch is the third person to use the pseudonym, a not-so-veiled tribute to journalist and author Hunter S. Thompson, with the permission of his predecessors Gene Gaudette of American Politics Journal (currently webmaster and chief bottlewasher at Liberaland) and Stephen Meese at Smashmouth Politics.

231 responses to Trump email server’s suspicious communication with Russian bank

  1. Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 09:37

    Keep in mind: very likely, there are many hackers that know what was on Hillary’s server and what is in the NSA archives and what is in Huma Abadin’s laptop. It is easy to compare the files to determine which are the 33,000 deleted files.

  2. William November 1st, 2016 at 09:39

    But lets look at Anthony Wieners laptop…because…um oh yeah…and BENGHAZI!.

    https://www.youtube.com/embed/HEWA0qcKnXM

    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 10:07

      You do not understand what Trump said, but you disagree with it.

      • William November 1st, 2016 at 11:11

        I pretty much stopped paying much attention to the Cheeto faced liar after he called a former POW and decorated Naval aviator a loser for getting shot down, and after he admitted on national TV that he was a sex offender…Your move cupcake.

  3. Mensa Member November 1st, 2016 at 09:56

    What’s “worse than Watergate” ?

    The Trump campaign paying Russians to hack the DNC.

    Yes, it’s just a theory. But it fits the facts.

    And it makes more sense than Putin doing it. Who believes that Putin really cares about Debbie Waserman Shultz? It makes much more sense to believe that Trump paid Russian hackers to swing this election.

    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 09:57

      There is no evidence that the Russians hacked the DNC. The hypothesis is based purely on conjecture and makes no logical sense.

      • Mensa Member November 1st, 2016 at 09:59

        It think it is certain that the hacks came from inside Russia.

        The biggest question is who and why.

        Why is obvious: they want Trump elected.

        As for “who” – I think the Trump campaign paid Russian hackers.

        Do you have a theory that better fits the facts?

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 10:02

          You are certain of a conclusion, based on personal emotion. You show no interest in facts.

          • Mensa Member November 1st, 2016 at 10:04

            LOL! You just attacked me personally.

            I gave you exactly why I think the Trump Campaign paid Russian hackers.

            It’s fits the facts. I asked you for a better theory and you attacked me personally.

            I won that round!

            • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 10:05

              I did not attack anyone. I simply explained that you have no evidence.

              • Mensa Member November 1st, 2016 at 10:11

                Your counter debate was that I was emotional, not factual.

                You went full ad hominem on me.

                I’m guessing you didn’t take debate in high school.

                I have a theory which I believe best fits the facts: the Trump campaign is behind this.

                There is motive, there is opportunity and the evidence is coming in (Trump’s secret communication with Russia, Trump’s staff connections to Russia, Trump’s personal ties to Russia.)

                I invite you again: do you have a theory that better fits the facts?

                (But, I gotta get to work. I will read your answer later.)

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 10:18

                  I don’t use ad hominem.
                  I don’t need to take debate in high school in order to understand logical inference.
                  You stated no facts with which to fit, or not fit.
                  Trump does not have enough money to sway the Russian government to alter their self-interest.
                  The Russians would have more power by not releasing the data, rather than releasing it.
                  The server was so insecure that it did not require a sophisticated hacker to gain entrance. A reasonably intelligent 8-year-old could have gotten access with a modicum of computer knowledge.

                  • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 10:22

                    So, in other words, your guess is as good as his.
                    An 8 year old did it.
                    Brilliant !

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 10:28

                      You did not comprehend my post.

                    • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 10:42

                      I comprehend quite well. I also read everything you posted. I stay in context. Your arguing over theories. Facts be damned.
                      You did go full ad hominem on Mensa… over theory no less.
                      “You show no interest in facts.” his “facts” are just as valid as yours…as is mine, the difference is I agree with his theory, you on the other hand have so far, offered up an 8 year old as yours fascinating…

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 10:44

                      I neither wrote or implied that an 8-year-old hacked into the server. You don’t appear to be capable of logical inference.

                    • mea_mark November 1st, 2016 at 10:45

                      Careful now. Keep things relevant without attacking anyone.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 10:47

                      I attacked no one.

                    • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 14:29

                      Now your attacking everybody, keep up the good work butt burn.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:30

                      Insult me more.

                    • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 14:32

                      Butt burn is all you get.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:34

                      Then just keep repeating the same insult. You are amusing in a trivial way.

                    • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 14:37

                      Glad you approve. you’re amusing in a bigly way.

                    • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 10:56

                      Was I out of line ? Sometimes it takes a little prodding to get to a conclusion…as you can see.

                    • mea_mark November 1st, 2016 at 10:58

                      Just trying to keep things in line before they get out of line. Reminders are just reminders and warnings are just warnings.

                    • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 11:06

                      I try very hard not to resort to name calling.
                      I much prefer a battle of wits.
                      But my tolerance for these folks is wearing thin.

                    • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 10:46

                      “A reasonably intelligent 8-year-old could have gotten access with a modicum of computer knowledge.”
                      Your the 8 year old, there, there’s my theory.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 10:46

                      Let me simplify it far you: the server was not secure.

                    • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 10:51

                      Who’s server ?

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 10:51

                      Hillary’s.

                    • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 10:53

                      I knew it, thanks for playing, game over.

                    • mea_mark November 1st, 2016 at 10:46

                      Let’s avoid any tit-for-tat back and forth bs please.

              • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 14:27

                nice editing, I have your real comment

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:29

                  Faking that you know something is pretty funny. Keep doing it.

                  • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 14:31

                    “You show no interest in facts.”
                    if you insist.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:33

                      Indicating that someone shows no interest in facts is not an insult, rather it is a technical observation. Do you not know the difference?

      • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:07

        U.S. intel community “confident” Russia directed hacks to influence election
        http://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-s-intel-community-confident-russia-directed-hacks-to-influence-election/

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:32

          “Confidence” is not evidence.

          • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:34

            It’s as close as you are going to get.
            Much closer than the anti-Clinton fantasies.

            • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:35

              You are just venting spleen.

              • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:43

                I am stating facts.

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:45

                  You do not know the difference between an opinion, a belief and/or a fact.

                  • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:48

                    Thou doth project too much, methinks. (Just like your candidate).
                    Neurotic projection is perceiving others as operating in ways one unconsciously finds objectionable in yourself.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:52

                      You obviously are not reading my posts on this page, or you are not willing, able to understand. Or you are neither willing or able.

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 14:00

                      Again with the projection.
                      By the way, you are not saying anything.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:09

                      I’m not saying anything that you understand.

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 14:16

                      I realize ….
                      You are a legend in your own mind.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:19

                      Insult me at your leisure. I really don’t mind. Insult me more. You have 7 days to rant and I have the rest of your life to gloat.

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 14:28

                      I am merely holding up a mirror.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:30

                      You live in your castle in the sky and it has mirrors too.

    • mea_mark November 1st, 2016 at 10:39

      I thought this article had an interesting take on things and raises some very interesting questions about the investigation, or lack of.

      NSA Whistleblower: US Intelligence Worker Likely Behind DNC Leaks, Not Russia
      http://theantimedia.org/nsa-whistleblower-dnc-russia/

      • The Original Just Me November 1st, 2016 at 10:49

        I have been saying this all along. The person in question IS a Guest of Russia.

      • The Original Just Me November 1st, 2016 at 10:52

        Sorry for the multiple replies but I kept getting Censored.

        • mea_mark November 1st, 2016 at 10:54

          ‘Guest’ will get you censored. Ok I have to go approve my comment now …

  4. The Original Just Me November 1st, 2016 at 10:39

    Surprise ! Surprise ! ” NOT !! “

  5. eyelashviper November 1st, 2016 at 11:31

    Halloween surprise

    http://editorialcartoonists.com/cartoons/RogerR/2016/RogerR20161101_low.jpg

  6. jybarz November 1st, 2016 at 12:24

    Hillary & Dems should hammer the following messages multiple times a day till Election Day:
    – Tramp/Putin/Russia love affair and his server
    – Demand FBI must reveal the findings so far of its investigation on Tramp/Putin/Russia relationship.
    – Demand FBI must reveal the findings so far of its other investigations on Tramp.

    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 12:37

      Hillary must prepare for her time in prison.

      • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 12:42

        For what?

        NAME WHAT CRIME SHE COMMITTED!!!!!

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 12:43

          Espionage.

          • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 12:55

            The only crimes she committed was being a democratic first lady of a
            Southern state. The Clinton’s really freaked out the righty’s and their heads exploded.

            And the when she was first lady POTUS she said she wanted to contribute to policy, “and not stand in the kitchen baking cookies” the righty’s FREAKED OUT!

            So in the alternate world of the right wing I guess she is a criminal

            A criminal that helped people for over thirty years and the righty’s cannot stand that happening.

            She is going to make a great president . And even you will once again be happy.

            No walls, no roundups, no oppressing people because of their choice of religion. A good place to start

            • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 12:58

              By Friday 11/04/16, it will be the general consensus that Donald J. Trump will be the next President of the United States.

              • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:01

                Ivanka,
                Is that you?

              • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 13:01

                Did you come up with that while you were farting into your couch pillow?

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:19

                  Extrapolate the RealClear Politics
                  aggregate of polls Please:

                  Clinton Trump Lead

                  10/17/16 49 41.9 7.1
                  10/18/16 48.6 42.1 6.5
                  10/20/16 48.1 41.9 6.2
                  10/21/16 48 41.9 6.1
                  10/22/16 47.9 42 5.9
                  10/23/16 47.8 42.3 5.5
                  10/24/16 48.3 43.2 5.1
                  10/28/16 47.1 42.5 4.6
                  10/29/16 47.6 43.3 4.3
                  10/30/16 48 4 4.9 3.1
                  10/31/16 47.7 45.3 2.4

                  • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:33

                    It looks like Obama/Romney 2012.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:34

                      Innumerate conclusion.

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:35

                      No.
                      It’s based on their numbers.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:37

                      I just gave you their numbers. All you have to do is acknowledge the pattern.

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:44

                      Their “patterns” change with new polls and they include a lot of inaccurate polls.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:49

                      Aggregates change slowly and they mitigate inaccuracies. She doesn’t have enough time and there is not enough inaccuracy to change the pattern probability of Trump victory. Your are grasping at straws.

                      And I left out a large number of driving forces that make the Trump victory far more probable then the given mathematical pattern.

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 14:00

                      No they do not.
                      They include inaccurate polls like Rasmussen and LAT.
                      That is why;
                      Probability of Clinton victory:

                      NYT (upshot) 88%

                      538 74%

                      HuffPost 98%

                      Predict wise 85%

                      Sam Wang 99%

                      Cook Lean Dem

                      Roth.1 Lean dem

                      Sabato Likely Dem.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:08

                      COMPENDIUM OF HIGHEST RANKING FORECASTERS THAT HAVE TRUMP WINNING:

                      Larry Bartels (Vanderbilt University) has Trump winning a tight race.
                      Ray C. Fair (Yale University) has Trump winning a tight race.
                      Lynn Vavreck (UCLA political scientist) has Trump winning a tight
                      race.
                      Allan Lichtman (American University, Washington DC) has Trump
                      winning a tight race.
                      Professor Helmut Norpoth (Stonybrook University, NY) has Trump’s winning odds at 97%.
                      MogIA system – Artificial Intelligence System Predicts Trump Victory.
                      Broken_sky (University of Massachuesetts, Boston), has Trump
                      winning by 7, or more, points.

                      *Close race means victory by less than 4 points.
                      *Moderate race means victory by more than 4 and less than 10 points.
                      *Large victory means victory by 10, or more, points.

                    • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:13

                      The recent presidential election polls have been mixed — but mostly between polls that are good for Hillary Clinton and polls that are fantastic for her.

                      Clinton now leads Donald Trump in national polling averages by about 7 points, with every recent live interview poll showing her up by between 4 and 12 points.

                      She continues to hold on to solid leads in a series of states that would put her over the 270 electoral votes she needs to win, and she seems to have taken the lead in even most of the swing states she doesn’t need (like Florida, North Carolina, and Nevada).

                      New, troubling signs are emerging for Trump in states like Utah, and the Clinton campaign is signaling confidence by making a new push into Arizona and focusing more on down-ballot races.

                      And every major election forecasting model gives Clinton at least an 87 percent chance of victory.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:18

                      Clearly, math is not your subject.

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 14:25

                      There’s a good reason why these models aren’t cited .

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:27

                      They are the highest performing forecasters known. You would know that if you looked them up and read about them. We both know why you didn’t.

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 14:28

                      I have.
                      I am not impressed and the models don’t hold up now.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:32

                      Now you’re just being silly. Why would you lie about something that is a matter of public record?

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 14:45

                      Their models simply don’t hold up in this election.
                      Models based on fundamentals often fail.

                      Come back with their past predictions and we will see.
                      Besides, most of the parameters do not favor Trump.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:48

                      If you looked up their records you would know that their past predictions far outperform anyone else. They are holding up in this election, so far.

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 15:33

                      The burden is on YOU to look them up since YOU cite them as more reliable than everyone else who disagrees with their predictions.

                    • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:11

                      No! You just gave him YOUR numbers..

                      Based on nonsense.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:12

                      Ride your unicorn! Hahaha!

                    • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:15

                      All the way to the white house with the first woman President

                      HAHAHAHAHAHAH

                  • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:05

                    There is only one number that counts.

                    And that number is 270..

                    Here’s the story that no poll can tell: Hillary Clinton has many paths to 270 electoral votes, while Donald Trump has very few. Hillary is nearly certain to win 16 “blue” states, including Washington D.C., which will garner her 191 electoral votes. If we add the five states that FiveThirtyEight.com gives Hillary a 70% or greater chance of winning (Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin), Hillary only needs ten more electoral votes.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:11

                      Presently, no one has any electoral votes. You are counting votes that have yet to occur.

                    • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:18

                      With 11 days to go before the U.S. presidential election, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 15 percentage points among early voters surveyed in the past two weeks, according to the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project.

                      Looking pretty bleak for the trumpster.

                      HAHAHAHAHAHAH

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:20

                      Your numbers have expired. Look at the most recent RealClear Politics aggregate of polls.

              • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 13:14

                A consensus of fux, Breitbart, and info date.

                But the voters are going to annihilate trump and all the down ticket politician’s that backed trump.

                It is going to be a great day n the USA

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:31

                  You are just emoting.

          • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:03

            That’s why former Reagan aide Bruce Bartlett said, “Many conservatives live in a bubble where they watch only Fox News on television, they listen only to conservative talk radio — Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, many of the same people,” Bartlett told CNN’s Brian Stelter on Sunday. “When they go onto the Internet, they look at conservative websites like National Review, Newsmax, World Net Daily.”“And so, they are completely in a universe in which they are hearing the same exact ideas, the same arguments, the same limited amount of data repeated over and over and over again. And that’s brainwashing.”

            And that is why you have this anti-American buffoon representing your party.

            • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:32

              Your groundless assumptions are laughable.

              • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:33

                So then refute it.

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:39

                  I just did. Where were you when it happened?

              • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:09

                Your espionage assumption is not only laughable, it is insane.

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:11

                  You need to look up the word “assumption,” because you don’t know what it means.

                  • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 21:53

                    More arrogance from ignorance.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 22:00

                      More baseless accusation from the chronically desperate.

                    • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 22:03

                      You are a hopeless fool, exposing your pathetic ignorance for all to behold. Your high opinion of yourselves is grossly misplaced. You have nothing of value to contribute, just tired old lies and incredible notions. Just another useless RWNJ troll.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 22:05

                      If you had a thought you would express it, but alas.

          • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 21:52

            Seriously, espionage? FFS, what espionage? At worst there were emails that weren’t marked classified and some that were poorly marked, that is a far cry from espionage, that requires a deliberate action to pass classified information to a non-authorized party for money or ideological reasons that could damage the governments interests. The idea the HRC committed espionage is unbelievably stupid to the nth degree. What is becoming more and more obvious is that the one doing the communication with a foreign power, and one that is definitely not friendly to us, is Donald J. Trump, a man who lies over 20 times each and every day.

            • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 21:58

              You are willfully ignorant of the law.

              • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 22:07

                Again with the arrogant ignorance.

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 22:09

                  Look up the word ignorance, because you do not understand the meaning.

      • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:00

        That’s what they say about Trump.
        So what?

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:33

          What “they’ say is irrelevant.

          • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:36

            Just like what YOU say?

            • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:38

              I rely on mathematics and facts, not opinions.

              • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:44

                Clearly you don’t.
                You rely on wishful thinking.

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 13:50

                  I gave you the mathematics – which are public record – all you need to do is analyze the pattern. You are either unwilling, unable or both.

                  • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 13:54

                    You gave me a short list.
                    The pattern changes weekly.
                    From Nate Silver;
                    Our model forecasts the popular vote as Clinton 49.2, Trump 44.7.

                    What if we removed the ABC/Post poll entirely? Clinton 49.3, Trump 44.5.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:00

                      Nate Silver has been wrong more than a dozen times in this election and not small errors, but very large ones. He assessed that Trump had a 5% chance of winning the primaries. Laughable! Bing far outperformed Silver in this election, so far.

                    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 14:02

                      (That’s what you guys said in 2012.)

                      I bet he has been right more than you.
                      Meanwhile Sam Wang has been the MOST accurate and RCP is the most right leaning.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:16

                      I have made more forecasts in this election than anyone else and I have not been wrong once – a documented fact. I predicted that Trump would blow away Pennsylvania in the primaries (before New York had voted). I predicted that Trump would win all remaining states in the primary, before Wisconsin voted. I predicted that Trump would win the primary by more than 64 delegates, before anyone predicted that he would definitely win.

                      Both Nate Silver and Sam Wang have reliable calculations, but the mathematical assumptions are based on previous elections, whose patterns we already know are not representative of this election.

                    • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:21

                      When did you make these predictions? Yesterday??

                      HAHAHAHAHAHAH

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:23

                      Dream on.

                    • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:57

                      You are emoting..

                      HAHAHAHAHAHAH. You’re a funny guy!

              • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:07

                Make sure you focus in the number 270, and not your opinion poles.

                Do the REAL math mother fucker!

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:21

                  Please insult me more. Trump will get more than 270 and Clinton will get less.

                  • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:31

                    Hilliary will get to 270 just before trump goes bankrupt for the seventh time.

                    HAHAHAHAHAHAH..

                    No need for you to feel insulted..

                    It is ok for you to be so horribly wrong. After all you are a trump dummy

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:35

                      Thank you for the new insult. It is easy to control you.

                    • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:38

                      Not insults! Just facts

                      And you should know the difference

                    • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 21:46

                      So typical of RW trolls, spout a bunch of BS as if it’s true, then become arrogant when challenged. Ignorance combined with arrogance.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 21:58

                      Keep the insults coming!

                  • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 14:46

                    Ride your unicorn! Hahaha!

                  • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:47

                    I’m clipboarding your predictions.

                    Make sure you come to this site on Nov. 9.

                    It will be fun

                    HAHAHAHAHAHAH… GASPPPPPPP……… HAHAHAHAHAHAH.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:50

                      You are right to clipboard my predictions. And you should let everyone know if my predictions turn out to be wrong. Forecasting can’t be faked. I will either turn out to be right, or to be wrong.

                    • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:55

                      You will be wrong.

                      And I am looking forward to pointing that out on Nov.. 9

                      Just make sure you show up.

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:57

                      Specify a time and day. I want you to have the opportunity to say “I told you so” without having to wait.

                    • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 15:01

                      Right here on this website.

                      But so you don’t have to wait.

                      All your predictions where WRONG!

                    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 15:01

                      On this website, which day, which hour?

              • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 14:38

                You should try relying on medications.

      • ohpaleasegivemeabreak November 1st, 2016 at 13:50

        buhbye

      • Obewon November 1st, 2016 at 14:04

        I Hope Russia Hacks us…’-Trump Here is what we know about Russia (Putin’s KGB is dubbed FSB-Father Bear & Fancy Bear-GBU. While Russian Milt Intel Cozy Bear set up a chat room Monitor-
        But some of the most compelling evidence linking the DNC breach to Russia was found at the beginning of July by Thomas Rid, a professor at King’s College in London, who discovered an identical command-and-control address hardcoded into the DNC malware that was also found on malware used to hack the German Parliament in 2015. According to German security officials, the malware originated from Russian military intelligence. An identical SSL certificate was also found in both breaches.

        The evidence mounts from there. Traces of metadata in the document dump reveal various indications that they were translated into Cyrillic. Via https://www.wired.com/2016/07/heres-know-russia-dnc-hack/

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:23

          It would be illogical for the Russians to release the data that WikiLeaks released, therefore your assertions are pointless.

          • Obewon November 1st, 2016 at 14:49

            Your ignorance was preemptively debunked by 7+ private & government intelligence agencies e. g. Trump espionage: U.S. suspects Russia in hack of Pentagon computer network] One group, which CrowdStrike had dubbed Cozy Bear, had gained access last summer and was monitoring the DNC’s email and chat communications, Alperovitch said. The other, which the firm had named Fancy Bear, broke into the network in late April and targeted the opposition research files. It was this breach that set off the alarm. The hackers stole two files, Henry said. And they had access to the computers of the entire research staff — an average of about several dozen on any given day.

            The computers contained research going back years on Trump. “It’s a huge job” to dig into the dealings of somebody who has never run for office before, Dacey said Via Pulitzer Prize Winner WaPo.https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/russian-government-hackers-penetrated-dnc-stole-opposition-research-on-trump/2016/06/14/cf006cb4-316e-11e6-8ff7-7b6c1998b7a0_story.html

      • Buford2k11 November 1st, 2016 at 14:36

        Ok Russian Troll…

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:37

          Don’t you have a more severe insult for me?

          • Buford2k11 November 1st, 2016 at 14:38

            naw…why waste a perfectly good insult on a low life….?

            • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:39

              Thank you for the new insult.

          • bpollen November 1st, 2016 at 16:04

            STILL don’t refute it.

      • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 14:39

        You should prepare for an extra long sleeved overcoat.

      • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 21:42

        It’s a shame about your RDS (Reality Detachment Syndrome).

      • StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:36

        ……..

  7. amersham1046 November 1st, 2016 at 13:38

    Getting couriouser and couriouser

  8. Gary Parillo November 1st, 2016 at 14:14

    Yesterday,Harry Reid sent a letter to Comey,demanding that the agency release information they are holding concerning a Trump and Putin connection.I forget where exactly I read that ,but it was credible,and the entire letter was displayed in the report.There is Apparantly something more going on than just conjecture,between Trump and Russia.More info concerning that should be revealed over the next few days.

    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:25

      Why would it require a government power to break into an unsecured server? Irrational!

      • anothertoothpick November 1st, 2016 at 14:35

        That is why we need an investigation

        Or is Clinton the only one with that privilege?

        HAHAHAHAHAHAH

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:36

          You missed the point. No one breaks into an open door.

      • Buford2k11 November 1st, 2016 at 14:37

        Russian troll…

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 14:38

          Puerile response.

          • Buford2k11 November 1st, 2016 at 14:39

            Yes, but true….

          • bpollen November 1st, 2016 at 16:02

            But I notice you don’t even TRY to refute it.

          • StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:36

            ….

      • oldfart November 1st, 2016 at 14:40

        tRump getting 270…
        now THAT’S irrational.

      • Gary Parillo November 1st, 2016 at 15:54

        I have found the article concerning the Harry Reid letter.I don’t know how to transfer links,but the article and letter can be found at; http://www.dailykos.com,and article title is,”The real bombshell in Harry Reid’s letter” Oct.31 . I have no idea if Reid is referring to the server controversy or if this has been a separate investigation,but the tone of the letter indicates it is a separate investigation that the agency has been working on for months.

      • bpollen November 1st, 2016 at 16:03

        Because doing so would be a CRIME without the power of the gubmint (and a warrant or court order.)

  9. Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 15:12

    WikiLeaks is about to release data more damaging to Clinton than past data dumps.
    Project Veritas is about to release data more damaging to Clinton than past videos.
    Shadow Brokers is about to release data damaging to Clinton.
    Large donors have decided to back the Trump campaign.
    The Republican Party is increasing it’s support of the Trump campaign.
    The effects of Debbie Wasserman-Schultz, Bob Creamer, Scott Foval and Donna Brazile firings are dominating the news cycle.
    The Adverse-Selection death spiral of Obamacare is driving the news cycle.
    And the FBI reopenning of the email case is driving the news cycle.
    Criminal investigations of the Clinton Foundation are driving the news cycle.
    Trump is doing 5 rallies a day.

    • OldLefty November 1st, 2016 at 15:51

      Wikileaks???
      Nobody care. They are already too tainted.

      Project Veritas????
      The phony fiction producer???

      The Comey scandal is a much bigger deal now.

      “Trump is doing 5 rallies a day.”
      _____

      And they make he and his fans look horrible.

      • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 20:56

        You convinced yourself of what you already believe – typical.

        • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 21:40

          No, we don’t have to “convince” ourselves, the facts bear out what we say. You, on the other hand, have to “believe” because you have no facts, just pathetic lies and distortions. It is depressing that so many Americans have developed a serious mental condition and support the incompetent clown running as a Republican, the absolutely worst Presidential candidate in modern times.

          • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 21:56

            Please, insult me more.

            • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 22:06

              Because of your overriding arrogance and delusions of being smart, you can’t actually be insulted because then you would have to admit how screwed up you really are.

              • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 22:08

                More baseless accusations. Keep trying.

                • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 22:09

                  Nope, no point in continuing with any discourse with someone as deluded as you.

                  • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 22:10

                    So now you are the Blue Man. Boo hoo!

    • William November 1st, 2016 at 17:55

      What’s with you right wing clowns and your love affair with rapists anyway?https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/322203596c722fcc05bd86c3d94bc207b51ce3570474c051af23e2a0b9987fcd.jpg

      • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 22:04

        The truth is true no matter who states it. WikiLeaks has an 11 year record of always getting the facts right. Please, do your best to discredit those with stellar records of veracity. Clinton lies per second.

    • William November 1st, 2016 at 18:06

      There is no investigation of the Clinton foundation. In fact it has an 87 percent approval rating. Trumps foundation however has been ordered closed, as it isn’t an actual charity. Among other things it has spend 20,000 dollars buying a portrait of Trump for a country club. Facts matter Skippy.

      http://www.cbsnews.com/news/ny-attorney-general-sends-trump-foundation-cease-and-desist-letter/

      • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 20:55

        Facts matter to me, but not you.

        • Obewon November 1st, 2016 at 21:02

          Here are Facts debunking you. The most honest U.S. politicians are BHO44, HRC(45), Jeb Bush, Clinton endorser/campaigner Bernie Sanders. Least honest is Trump! Via Pulitzer Prize winner PolitiFact Trump True 13 (4%) http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/
          https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/54915d760fc980304ca38088ad0fc48ec3c4920f20a7ce1cf050aea57631209a.jpg

          • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 21:07

            Politifact lies.

            • Obewon November 1st, 2016 at 21:10

              Nope. You can’t refute Trump’s lies. They are linked above for you to try to debunk. Buh-bye.

        • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 21:37

          That is patently false. You are simply spouting RW lying points that do not require any evidence at all. You are simply a pathetic RWNJ that would know the truth if it slapped you in the face. The facts that facts have a liberal bias drives you people nuts.

          • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 21:55

            Lol.

            • Red Mann November 1st, 2016 at 22:04

              How much are you getting paid to troll here and disturb the adults?

              • StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:05

                I bet he/she is being paid in Rubels..
                Nor Dollars..

                • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:20

                  I’m laughing at you.

        • William November 1st, 2016 at 22:54

          Then please post a link to the investigation of the Clinton foundation. I have posted a link to the cease and desist order for the Trump foundation.
          I’ll wait.

  10. StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 20:36

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zPlqaBMUTzU

    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 21:08

      Keith Oberman’s IQ is well below 100.

      • StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 22:58

        Keith Olberman has a successful career…
        You post comments on the internet, you fuggin loser.
        Get a real job.

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:18

          Thank you for the insult. You and Keith share a common attribute.

          • StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:42

            No problem, if ya want another insult, just say so…
            I’ll give you two more for free…
            The third one, is gonna cost ya.

            • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:42

              The more insults the better. Let me have it!

  11. Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 22:16

    The adverse-selection death spiral: basically, every time the price of insurance goes up, many of the people in the insurance pool who use the least health care decide that it makes more sense to go without the insurance and bear the risk themselves, and they drop
    their coverage. That means you’re left with the more expensive patients to cover, which means the average cost goes up, which means prices have to go up.

    Obamacare deductibles are pricing the majority of Americans out of being able to use their health insurance.

  12. StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:03

    No trolls on top….
    Guess who Broken_Sky probably is…(russian troll)
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OauLuWXD_RI

    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:17

      Pretty funny, that you managed to convince yourself of something you feel desperate to believe. Lean how to form a syllogism, it might help you.

      • StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:34

        I know who is desperate…
        The person who has been posting comments on this thread for hour after hour, thinking and praying anyone would respond..

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:36

          I have been on dozens of websites in the hour and managed to do research on my coming book. It is not difficult to post a paragraph.

          • StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:38

            Liar

            • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:39

              Keep the insults coming. It says something definitive about you.

  13. StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:17

    Broken_Sky aka @deepcloud.
    (this stuff is easy to google)

    • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:19

      Can you form a thought?

      • StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:21

        Tell me about @deepcloud:disqus @deepcloud.
        Are you going lie about that also?
        Or Broken_Sky…
        You people are so easy to spot

        • Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:22

          I don’t lie. And you are not interested in facts or figures. You have more than demonstrated that fact.

          • oldfart November 2nd, 2016 at 00:45

            OH you lie alright, I’ve already caught you covering up your own statements. Your problem is you actually think you’re right and I have to agree with it or your panties get in a wad. It’s a free country get over yourself.
            Oh and just in case…

            Прощай товарищ

  14. Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:24

    Based on the trends and momentum of the known data, Trump will win unless the pattern changes in Hillary’s favor and there is no indication that will happen.

    • StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:32

      Looks like you got a lot of people responding to you…
      Ya better hang around to see if people really care what you have to spew…
      personally @deepcloud. I am finished with you..

  15. Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:41

    Trump is now ahead in Florida and North Carolina. I predict Trump will win Pennsylvania.

  16. Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:44

    Today Trump is behind in Nevada. I predict he will be ahead in Nevada before Saturday.

  17. StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:48

    Funny Stuff…https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DLH36Tr-8pE

  18. Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:52

    The FBI today released data on the questionable pardon that Bill Clinton provided for the criminal Marc Rich (1934-2013). The Clinton controversies are boundless.

  19. StoneyCurtisll November 1st, 2016 at 23:53

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFOkBnYGfIM

  20. Broken_Sky November 1st, 2016 at 23:54

    The Clinton Syndicate has declared war on the FBI.

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