Nyhan: As Economy Improves, So Will Obama’s Ratings
Click here for reuse options!The economy is turning upward. Job growth is increasing, as The Upshot’s Neil Irwin has noted, and wage and income growth – which have been largely nonexistent for years – are likely to pick up. The latest estimate shows G.D.P. grew at a rate of 5 percent in the third quarter, the fastest rate since 2003…
The lesson of history is that Mr. Obama will get credit if growth continues, but we should not be surprised if public opinion lags objective measures of the economy. The political scientists Peter Enns and Gregory McAvoy write, for instance: “For the most part, public opinion does not react instantaneously to changes in economic information. It takes time for economic news to make its way from government reports into news reports so that ordinary citizens can absorb and respond to this information.”
…while Mr. Obama’s recent executive actions on immigration and Cuba have received greater attention from the chattering class, recent economic developments could be more consequential for his presidency and the 2016 election.
Copyright 2014 Liberaland
32 responses to Nyhan: As Economy Improves, So Will Obama’s Ratings
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William December 27th, 2014 at 10:47
Happy New Year.
StoneyCurtisll December 27th, 2014 at 12:42
But, But, But…
William December 27th, 2014 at 11:47
Happy New Year.
StoneyCurtisll December 27th, 2014 at 13:42
But, But, But…
mea_mark December 27th, 2014 at 10:55
“For the most part, public opinion does not react instantaneously to changes in economic information. It takes time for economic news to make its way from government reports into news reports so that ordinary citizens can absorb and respond to this information.” — They will recognize it when wages for the poor go up. Right now the benefits have mainly been going to the rich. Time for someone like Warren to be president.
R.J. Carter December 27th, 2014 at 14:38
“Time for someone like Warren to be president.”
You mean he’s not already?
mmaynard119 December 28th, 2014 at 20:23
The reincarnation of Warren Harding? Regarding trusting Wall Street and the banking industry way too much, this one is a lot like Warren.
R.J. Carter December 28th, 2014 at 20:34
I was thinking “Buffet” not “Harding.”
mea_mark December 27th, 2014 at 11:55
“For the most part, public opinion does not react instantaneously to changes in economic information. It takes time for economic news to make its way from government reports into news reports so that ordinary citizens can absorb and respond to this information.” — They will recognize it when wages for the poor go up. Right now the benefits have mainly been going to the rich. Time for someone like Warren to be president.
R.J. Carter December 27th, 2014 at 15:38
“Time for someone like Warren to be president.”
You mean he’s not already?
mmaynard119 December 28th, 2014 at 21:23
The reincarnation of Warren Harding? Regarding trusting Wall Street and the banking industry way too much, this one is a lot like Warren.
R.J. Carter December 28th, 2014 at 21:34
I was thinking “Buffet” not “Harding.”
Obewon December 27th, 2014 at 13:18
Even GOP pollster Gallup has POTUS Obama job approval 47%, 49% dis 12/19-21/2014. Riding high on Dems successes is (D) Hillary Clinton 52% Vs (R) Chris Christie 40%. (D) Hillary Clinton 49% Vs Jeb Bush 42% Fox News Poll 12/7-9/2014. http://www.pollingreport.com/wh16gen.htm
Obewon December 27th, 2014 at 14:18
Even GOP pollster Gallup has POTUS Obama job approval 47%, 49% dis 12/19-21/2014. Riding high on Dems successes is (D) Hillary Clinton 52% Vs (R) Chris Christie 40%. (D) Hillary Clinton 49% Vs Jeb Bush 42% Fox News Poll 12/7-9/2014. http://www.pollingreport.com/wh16gen.htm
R.J. Carter December 27th, 2014 at 14:28
This guy?
http://youtu.be/QH2-TGUlwu4
Carla Akins December 27th, 2014 at 14:36
Yes, that guy.
R.J. Carter December 27th, 2014 at 14:36
I presumed the H was silent. :)
Carla Akins December 27th, 2014 at 14:41
Well, duh.
Obewon December 27th, 2014 at 14:53
Cartoons are all you’ve got after GOP’s Great Recession left record low everything since (R) Hoover’s Great Depression. Not one repub success in the entire 21st century!
R.J. Carter December 27th, 2014 at 15:43
You’re so Internet-unhip not to get Nyan Cat.
Obewon December 27th, 2014 at 16:19
I like the LGBT rainbow diametrically opposed to closeted GOP faux family values. Yes we can! I gave up cartoons at age 11.
R.J. Carter December 27th, 2014 at 15:28
This guy?
http://youtu.be/QH2-TGUlwu4
Carla Akins December 27th, 2014 at 15:36
Yes, that guy.
R.J. Carter December 27th, 2014 at 15:36
I presumed the H was silent. :)
Carla Akins December 27th, 2014 at 15:41
Well, duh.
Obewon December 27th, 2014 at 15:53
Cartoons are all you’ve got after GOP’s Great Recession left record low everything since (R) Hoover’s Great Depression. Not one repub success in the entire 21st century!
R.J. Carter December 27th, 2014 at 16:43
You’re so Internet-unhip not to get Nyan Cat.
Obewon December 27th, 2014 at 17:19
I like the LGBT rainbow diametrically opposed to closeted GOP faux family values. Yes we can! I gave up cartoons at age 11.
granpa.usthai December 27th, 2014 at 15:09
I think this projected study is flawed. I don’t see anywhere that a ‘blackout’ was figured in? That’s always been the first projection for Fox News and other right wing oriented political studies.
granpa.usthai December 27th, 2014 at 16:09
I think this projected study is flawed. I don’t see anywhere that a ‘blackout’ was figured in? That’s always been the first projection for Fox News and other right wing oriented political studies.
mmaynard119 December 28th, 2014 at 20:21
OK, I quoted from one of Professor Nyhan’s works recently, so he gets a pass. But Professor Nyhan, really? Duh……..
mmaynard119 December 28th, 2014 at 21:21
OK, I quoted from one of Professor Nyhan’s works recently, so he gets a pass. But Professor Nyhan, really? Duh……..